1x Series · BO3
result vs prediction
11Monkeyzloss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
YNTwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
11Monkeyz
No games played over 6 months.
YNT
Sand Kingoften banned
Dominic · 9 games
Pugnaoften banned
Malr1ne · 8 games
Tiny
DarkLord^ · 8 games
Chaos Knightoften banned
DarkLord^ · 7 games
Death Prophetoften banned
dSa · 7 games
Marsoften banned
Dominic · 6 games
Medusaoften banned
DarkLord^ · 6 games
Bane
dSa · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
729 picks · 564 bans
Puck
521 picks · 1032 bans
Dawnbreaker
472 picks · 626 bans
Marci
435 picks · 779 bans
Winter Wyvern
367 picks · 409 bans
Snapfire
343 picks · 163 bans
Zeus
326 picks · 379 bans
Razor
311 picks · 599 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% 11Monkeyz
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total64% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
11Monkeyz 36%YNT 64%
The model gave 64% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Game 2prediction correct
11Monkeyz 36%YNT 64%
The model gave 64% on YNT — the game was taken by YNT.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 64%
Series resultYNT 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2