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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
GamerLegionwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Xtreme Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
fy · 34 games
62%
Phoenix
Phoenix
xNova · 32 games
44%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 20 games
45%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ame · 19 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ame · 18 games
56%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Ame · 18 games
39%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 18 games
44%
Rubick
Rubick
fy · 17 games
41%

GamerLegion

Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 18 games
78%
Kez
Kezoften banned
RCY · 17 games
53%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Speeed · 16 games
44%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 16 games
44%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 15 games
33%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Fayde · 15 games
40%
Venomancer
Venomancer
Speeed · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
502 picks · 349 bans
52%
Bane
Bane
354 picks · 412 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
343 picks · 632 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
328 picks · 465 bans
56%
Rubick
Rubick
313 picks · 171 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
307 picks · 340 bans
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
303 picks · 583 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
303 picks · 220 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% GamerLegion
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total67% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:18
Xtreme Gaming 57%GamerLegion 43%
The model gave 57% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 21:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerAme
47% · 126 games54% · 216 games
KezGhost
Kez
Puck
PuckNothingToSay
46% · 359 games53% · 371 game
Centaur WarrunnerRCY
Centaur Warrunner
Largo
LargoXxs
48% · 185 games56% · 84 games
EnigmaFayde
Enigma
Dark Willow
Dark Willowfy
39% · 167 games55% · 95 games
MiranaSpeeed
Mirana
Ringmaster
RingmasterxNova
47% · 215 games54% · 286 games
Shadow DemonBignum
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed15:36
Xtreme Gaming 61%GamerLegion 39%
The model gave 61% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 47:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
IoAme
58% · 47 games52% · 123 games
Shadow FiendGhost
Shadow Fiend
Timbersaw
TimbersawXxs
47% · 249 games46% · 175 games
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
Centaur Warrunner
Huskar
HuskarNothingToSay
49% · 95 games51% · 182 games
Ember SpiritRCY
Ember Spirit
Earthshaker
Earthshakerfy
53% · 118 games54% · 57 games
Winter WyvernSpeeed
Winter Wyvern
Mirana
MiranaxNova
55% · 131 game38% · 103 games
Dark WillowBignum
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 67%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2