The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Resiliencewin 2:0series probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Cloud Risingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Resilience
Pangolieroften banned
Echo · 6 games
Sand Kingsignature
Echo · 6 games
Rubick
pLAnet · 5 games
Winter Wyvern
zzq · 5 games
Earth Spirit
pLAnet · 4 games
Kezoften banned
poyoyo · 4 games
Muertaoften banned
poyoyo · 4 games
Clinkzoften banned
poyoyo · 3 games
Cloud Rising
Ember Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 5 games
Axeoften banned
Ice Coke · 4 games
Witch Doctor
谢乐zzz张泽中 · 4 games
Kezoften banned
Yumeyume · 3 games
Skywrath Mage
sheep · 3 games
Void Spirit
Q7 · 3 games
Clinkzoften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
Puckoften banned
Q7 · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
634 picks · 432 bans
Rubick
554 picks · 312 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 588 bans
Tiny
463 picks · 394 bans
Pangolier
434 picks · 645 bans
Puck
350 picks · 1017 bans
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 531 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 303 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Team Resilience
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total88% Team Resilience
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:21
Team Resilience 74%Cloud Rising 26%
The model gave 74% on Team Resilience — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 44:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kezpoyoyo
DoomYumeyume
PuckEcho
TidehunterIce Coke
Snapfireniu
Ember SpiritQ7
LargopLAnet
Lich谢乐zzz张泽中
Banezzq
Hoodwinksheep
Game 2prediction correct36:12
Team Resilience 73%Cloud Rising 27%
The model gave 73% on Team Resilience — the game was taken by Team Resilience in 30:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiendpoyoyo
Templar AssassinYumeyume
Monkey KingEcho
Ember SpiritQ7
Pangolierniu
AxeIce Coke
Treant Protectorzzq
Keeper of the Lightsheep
LionpLAnet
Lich谢乐zzz张泽中
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Resilience · 88%
Series resultTeam Resilience 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2