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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 21 game
81%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 19 games
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 19 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 17 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
65%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 16 games
81%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 16 games
63%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 32 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
rue · 28 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Satanic · 28 games
54%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 23 games
74%
Tusk
Tusk
Miposhka · 22 games
50%
Lion
Lion
rue · 21 game
52%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 21 game
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 21 game
81%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
476 picks · 411 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
461 picks · 563 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
446 picks · 551 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
429 picks · 541 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 779 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
411 picks · 452 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
408 picks · 232 bans
54%
Magnus
Magnus
396 picks · 856 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 61%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 3
Model total56% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:27
PARIVISION 47%Team Spirit 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 42:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinSatanic
39% · 72 games53% · 178 games
MagnusYatoro
Magnus
Enigma
EnigmaDM
57% · 116 games53% · 165 games
Storm SpiritLarl
Storm Spirit
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNo[o]ne
40% · 174 games45% · 183 games
Primal BeastCollapse
Primal Beast
Warlock
WarlockDukalis
48% · 31 game56% · 146 games
PugnaMiposhka
Pugna
Batrider
Batrider9Class
48% · 341 game63% · 62 games
Shadow Shamanrue
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed27:10
PARIVISION 46%Team Spirit 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 39:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinSatanic
40% · 51 game40% · 38 games
Drow RangerYatoro
Drow Ranger
Magnus
MagnusNo[o]ne
62% · 125 games45% · 94 games
Centaur WarrunnerCollapse
Centaur Warrunner
Bristleback
BristlebackDM
51% · 135 games55% · 77 games
EarthshakerLarl
Earthshaker
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin9Class
50% · 115 games53% · 102 games
ChenMiposhka
Chen
Warlock
WarlockDukalis
52% · 31 game45% · 146 games
Dark Willowrue
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 56%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2