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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Spiritloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Tundra Esports

Tusk
Tusk
Whitemon · 32 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 30 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 29 games
62%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 26 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 24 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
33 · 24 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 24 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
33 · 21 game
67%

Team Spirit

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 34 games
65%
Batrider
Batridersignature
rue · 27 games
63%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Satanic · 27 games
56%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 23 games
74%
Tusk
Tusk
Miposhka · 22 games
50%
Lion
Lion
rue · 21 game
52%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 21 game
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 21 game
81%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
483 picks · 418 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
456 picks · 553 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
448 picks · 558 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
440 picks · 553 bans
53%
Lion
Lion
425 picks · 233 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
419 picks · 790 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
410 picks · 444 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
396 picks · 830 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total53% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:13
Tundra Esports 51%Team Spirit 49%
The model gave 51% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 38:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightdyrachyo
40% · 307 games54% · 130 games
BroodmotherYatoro
Broodmother
Doom
Doom33
46% · 274 games55% · 228 games
PuckLarl
Puck
Invoker
Invokerbzm
44% · 211 games61% · 234 games
BristlebackCollapse
Bristleback
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinSaksa
49% · 152 games60% · 170 games
ChenMiposhka
Chen
Phoenix
PhoenixWhitemon
42% · 288 games51% · 470 games
Clockwerkrue
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct31:13
Tundra Esports 54%Team Spirit 46%
The model gave 54% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 40:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
Alchemistdyrachyo
58% · 246 games49% · 345 games
Dragon KnightYatoro
Dragon Knight
Earthshaker
Earthshakerbzm
57% · 113 games40% · 168 games
LinaLarl
Lina
Doom
Doom33
48% · 354 games52% · 220 games
BristlebackCollapse
Bristleback
Muerta
MuertaWhitemon
47% · 356 games47% · 325 games
PhoenixMiposhka
Phoenix
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSaksa
55% · 364 games46% · 375 games
Clockwerkrue
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 53%
Series resultTundra Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2