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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Talon Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 27 games
78%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 22 games
68%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 19 games
74%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 19 games
84%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
56%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 16 games
81%

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 29 games
69%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kuku · 24 games
67%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Mikoto · 24 games
71%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 20 games
50%
Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 19 games
79%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ws · 18 games
72%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Jhocam · 18 games
61%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Jhocam · 17 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
484 picks · 418 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
456 picks · 547 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
448 picks · 560 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
442 picks · 557 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
428 picks · 232 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
423 picks · 789 bans
56%
Tiny
Tiny
405 picks · 441 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
392 picks · 824 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)65% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total76% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:8
BETBOOM TEAM 65%Talon Esports 35%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 23:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerPure~
59% · 73 games44% · 253 games
MorphlingNatsumi
Morphling
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
51% · 436 games47% · 75 games
Queen of PainMikoto
Queen of Pain
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
52% · 354 games43% · 234 games
DoomWs
Doom
Zeus
ZeusSave-
45% · 131 game47% · 301 game
BatriderJhocam
Batrider
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKataomi
62% · 160 games49% · 291 game
PhoenixKuku
Phoenix
Game 2prediction missed26:45
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Talon Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 44:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightPure~
49% · 314 games54% · 57 games
Phantom AssassinNatsumi
Phantom Assassin
Monkey King
Monkey KinggpK~
61% · 133 games45% · 151 game
TerrorbladeWs
Terrorblade
Marci
MarciMieRo
50% · 92 games48% · 81 game
EarthshakerMikoto
Earthshaker
Io
IoSave-
59% · 47 games52% · 325 games
ClockwerkJhocam
Clockwerk
Lich
LichKataomi
41% · 153 games46% · 125 games
PugnaKuku
Pugna
Game 3prediction correct45:32
BETBOOM TEAM 63%Talon Esports 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:00:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPure~
51% · 180 games55% · 170 games
Monkey KingNatsumi
Monkey King
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
50% · 126 games52% · 46 games
ViperMikoto
Viper
Muerta
MuertaSave-
49% · 275 games43% · 151 game
DawnbreakerWs
Dawnbreaker
Mars
MarsMieRo
47% · 232 games47% · 310 games
BatriderJhocam
Batrider
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiKataomi
59% · 162 games48% · 298 games
PhoenixKuku
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 76%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3