?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandaswin 2:1
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
4Piratesloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
Solo · 19 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
erase · 19 games
68%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 17 games
71%
Lion
Lionsignature
lupsione · 16 games
69%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
laise · 14 games
43%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Solo · 12 games
17%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jesv · 12 games
42%
Muerta
Muerta
jesv · 12 games
42%

4Pirates

Muerta
Muerta
ariel · 13 games
38%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
мистер мораль · 13 games
54%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
ariel · 12 games
50%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 12 games
58%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
Otaker · 10 games
60%
Lion
Lionsignature
ariel · 10 games
60%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
PERDAN4IK · 10 games
40%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
NattyNarwhal · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
489 picks · 421 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
454 picks · 545 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
449 picks · 562 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
447 picks · 561 bans
53%
Lion
Lion
431 picks · 233 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
424 picks · 788 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
401 picks · 441 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
389 picks · 823 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% 9Pandas
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total76% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:43
9Pandas 66%4Pirates 34%
The model gave 66% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 4Pirates in 42:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerV-Tune
47% · 35 games45% · 175 games
BeastmasterActor
Beastmaster
Monkey King
Monkey Kingerase
56% · 261 game50% · 42 games
ViperNattyNarwhal
Viper
Night Stalker
Night Stalkerlaise
46% · 93 games46% · 212 games
Dragon KnightOtaker
Dragon Knight
Lich
LichSolo
54% · 173 games46% · 258 games
Batriderariel
Batrider
Lion
Lionlupsione
56% · 370 games51% · 245 games
ClockwerkPERDAN4IK
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct30:9
9Pandas 65%4Pirates 35%
The model gave 65% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 26:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidV-Tune
52% · 129 games49% · 137 games
LifestealerOtaker
Lifestealer
Dark Seer
Dark Seerlaise
57% · 138 games42% · 107 games
DawnbreakerActor
Dawnbreaker
Tiny
Tinyerase
51% · 491 game45% · 167 games
InvokerNattyNarwhal
Invoker
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinlupsione
54% · 163 games44% · 374 games
Batriderariel
Batrider
Pugna
PugnaSolo
58% · 196 games49% · 332 games
ClockwerkPERDAN4IK
Clockwerk
Game 3prediction correct38:21
9Pandas 66%4Pirates 34%
The model gave 66% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 38:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterV-Tune
52% · 287 games46% · 192 games
UrsaOtaker
Ursa
Earthshaker
Earthshakererase
46% · 107 games44% · 266 games
BeastmasterActor
Beastmaster
Dark Seer
Dark Seerlaise
59% · 111 games48% · 191 game
Earth SpiritNattyNarwhal
Earth Spirit
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinlupsione
58% · 156 games44% · 251 game
Muertaariel
Muerta
Phoenix
PhoenixSolo
48% · 368 games57% · 129 games
Ogre MagiPERDAN4IK
Ogre Magi
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 76%
Series result9Pandas 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3