CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacityloss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Jigglinwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Zero Tenacity
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 27 games
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 25 games
Dark Willow
jAMES · 22 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
Pablo · 21 game
Lion
Pablo · 20 games
Lich
LeBronDota · 19 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Nefrit · 19 games
Phoenixoften banned
LeBronDota · 18 games
Jigglin
Batridersignature
Lelis · 8 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Copy · 7 games
Tusksignature
Se · 6 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 5 games
Muerta
Lelis · 5 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Se · 5 games
Meepooften banned
423 · 4 games
Razoroften banned
423 · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
493 picks · 425 bans
Phoenix
455 picks · 538 bans
Batrider
448 picks · 559 bans
Clockwerk
446 picks · 568 bans
Lion
436 picks · 233 bans
Gyrocopter
424 picks · 786 bans
Tiny
398 picks · 436 bans
Pangolier
388 picks · 587 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 61%
Hero pool strength58% Jigglin
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total51% Jigglin
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:32
Zero Tenacity 49%Jigglin 51%
The model gave 51% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Jigglin in 44:09.
Game 2prediction missed11:3
Zero Tenacity 49%Jigglin 51%
The model gave 51% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity in 22:37.
Game 3prediction correct7:29
Zero Tenacity 49%Jigglin 51%
The model gave 51% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Jigglin in 28:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteJigglin · 51%
Series resultJigglin 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3