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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PARIVISIONwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 24 games
58%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 24 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 23 games
70%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 22 games
68%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 21 game
57%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 21 game
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
iNSaNiA · 20 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Boxi · 18 games
56%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 20 games
80%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 18 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
65%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
69%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 15 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 15 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
486 picks · 419 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
446 picks · 524 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
441 picks · 543 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
439 picks · 564 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
433 picks · 231 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
420 picks · 777 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
383 picks · 583 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
383 picks · 429 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total58% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:35
Team Liquid 53%PARIVISION 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 24:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinmiCKe
33% · 73 games53% · 171 game
MorphlingSatanic
Morphling
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritNisha
49% · 208 games55% · 83 games
SniperNo[o]ne
Sniper
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerSabeRLight-
53% · 134 games47% · 264 games
PhoenixDM
Phoenix
Muerta
MuertaBoxi
48% · 284 games56% · 269 games
Clockwerk9Class
Clockwerk
Lich
LichiNSaNiA
49% · 159 games55% · 71 game
Elder TitanDukalis
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct42:29
Team Liquid 55%PARIVISION 45%
The model gave 55% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 51:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunamiCKe
53% · 222 games50% · 58 games
LycanSatanic
Lycan
Earthshaker
EarthshakerNisha
56% · 88 games46% · 361 game
Dragon KnightNo[o]ne
Dragon Knight
Beastmaster
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
53% · 264 games51% · 90 games
TidehunterDM
Tidehunter
Enigma
EnigmaiNSaNiA
55% · 147 games47% · 372 games
Clockwerk9Class
Clockwerk
Batrider
BatriderBoxi
44% · 405 games49% · 245 games
EnchantressDukalis
Enchantress
Game 3prediction missed14:27
Team Liquid 53%PARIVISION 47%
The model gave 53% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 32:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainNisha
44% · 122 games58% · 95 games
Naga SirenSatanic
Naga Siren
Slark
SlarkmiCKe
43% · 46 games46% · 240 games
PhoenixDM
Phoenix
Snapfire
SnapfireBoxi
45% · 287 games56% · 133 games
Monkey KingNo[o]ne
Monkey King
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSabeRLight-
47% · 237 games55% · 201 game
Clockwerk9Class
Clockwerk
Io
IoiNSaNiA
56% · 67 games52% · 90 games
PugnaDukalis
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 58%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3