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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Tundra Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
YamSun · 13 games
69%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Bignum · 9 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 9 games
44%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Speeed · 7 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
YamSun · 7 games
57%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 7 games
71%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 6 games
100%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
RCY · 6 games
33%

Tundra Esports

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Whitemon · 31 game
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 29 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Whitemon · 28 games
61%
Doom
Doomsignature
33 · 26 games
73%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Whitemon · 24 games
67%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
33 · 24 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 24 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
79%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
486 picks · 419 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
446 picks · 524 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
441 picks · 543 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
439 picks · 564 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
433 picks · 231 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
420 picks · 777 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
383 picks · 583 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
383 picks · 429 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 56%
Hero pool strength51% Tundra Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Tundra Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct8:29
Wildcard Gaming 22%Tundra Esports 78%
The model gave 78% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 29:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingYamSun
48% · 194 games43% · 95 games
Phantom Assassindyrachyo
Phantom Assassin
Magnus
MagnusFayde
48% · 183 games57% · 78 games
Lycan33
Lycan
Monkey King
Monkey KingRCY
49% · 140 games47% · 291 game
Invokerbzm
Invoker
Batrider
BatriderBignum
43% · 275 games54% · 420 games
PhoenixWhitemon
Phoenix
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSpeeed
54% · 290 games58% · 198 games
Nyx AssassinSaksa
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct16:44
Wildcard Gaming 23%Tundra Esports 77%
The model gave 77% on Tundra Esports — the game was taken by Tundra Esports in 28:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackYamSun
54% · 174 games46% · 264 games
Beastmaster33
Beastmaster
Enigma
EnigmaFayde
57% · 170 games51% · 143 games
Razordyrachyo
Razor
Tiny
TinyRCY
53% · 377 games47% · 163 games
Monkey Kingbzm
Monkey King
Zeus
ZeusSpeeed
41% · 95 games47% · 62 games
UndyingWhitemon
Undying
Magnus
MagnusBignum
56% · 205 games46% · 389 games
BatriderSaksa
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteTundra Esports · 92%
Series resultTundra Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2