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CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Passion UAwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Türkiyeloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Passion UA

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 38 games
55%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
flacko · 28 games
43%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 26 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
niche · 24 games
58%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Batyuk · 22 games
73%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Batyuk · 22 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 20 games
40%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
yowaai · 20 games
45%

Team Türkiye

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
G.T.I · 16 games
50%
Lich
Lich
Stoic · 14 games
29%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Stoic · 11 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Jeezy · 11 games
45%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
G.T.I · 10 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Jeezy · 10 games
60%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
G.T.I · 9 games
67%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Stoic · 8 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
484 picks · 420 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
444 picks · 521 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
442 picks · 539 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
436 picks · 565 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
432 picks · 232 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
420 picks · 771 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
381 picks · 582 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
379 picks · 425 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 41%
Hero pool strength52% Passion UA
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total74% Passion UA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Passion UA 74%Team Türkiye 26%
The model gave 74% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Game 2prediction correct
Passion UA 74%Team Türkiye 26%
The model gave 74% on Passion UA — the game was taken by Passion UA.
Model check result
Model favoritePassion UA · 74%
Series resultPassion UA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2