FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Chimera Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Xtreme Gaming
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 30 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 21 game
Muerta
Pyw · 20 games
Tusksignature
Pyw · 20 games
Pucksignature
Xm · 19 games
Beastmastersignature
niu · 18 games
Pugnasignature
Poloson · 16 games
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 16 games
Chimera Esports
Muertasignature
OneJey · 16 games
Shadow Demonsignature
OneJey · 13 games
Clockwerksignature
OneJey · 11 games
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 11 games
Pugnasignature
Panto · 11 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 11 games
Magnussignature
TA2000 · 10 games
Pangoliersignature
Lorenof · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
486 picks · 419 bans
Phoenix
444 picks · 519 bans
Batrider
442 picks · 539 bans
Clockwerk
435 picks · 567 bans
Lion
434 picks · 232 bans
Gyrocopter
422 picks · 770 bans
Pangolier
381 picks · 584 bans
Tiny
379 picks · 423 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 69%
Hero pool strength52% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:23
Xtreme Gaming 56%Chimera Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 38:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlordlou
Templar AssassinTA2000
Doomniu
Storm SpiritLorenof
Ember SpiritXm
DawnbreakerMalik
MuertaPyw
ChenPanto
ClockwerkPoloson
Nyx AssassinOneJey
Game 2prediction correct35:32
Xtreme Gaming 55%Chimera Esports 45%
The model gave 55% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 49:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knightlou
LycanTA2000
Dawnbreakerniu
Earth SpiritLorenof
Storm SpiritXm
Night StalkerMalik
EarthshakerPyw
GrimstrokeOneJey
PugnaPoloson
LichPanto
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 64%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2