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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Falconswin 1:0
series probability
92%8%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Falcons

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Cr1t- · 39 games
69%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
ATF · 34 games
62%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Sneyking · 29 games
97%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Skiter · 27 games
74%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Malr1ne · 26 games
73%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Skiter · 24 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Malr1ne · 23 games
48%
Razor
Razorsignature
ATF · 23 games
61%

Wildcard Gaming

Magnus
Magnussignature
YamSun · 13 games
69%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Bignum · 9 games
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Bignum · 9 games
44%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Speeed · 7 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
YamSun · 7 games
57%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkersignature
Fayde · 7 games
71%
Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 6 games
100%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
RCY · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
486 picks · 418 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
442 picks · 538 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
441 picks · 519 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
435 picks · 567 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
434 picks · 232 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
421 picks · 769 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
380 picks · 584 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
378 picks · 421 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% Team Falcons
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% Team Falcons
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct31:15
Team Falcons 78%Wildcard Gaming 22%
The model gave 78% on Team Falcons — the game was taken by Team Falcons in 32:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinSkiter
51% · 87 games52% · 295 games
MorphlingYamSun
Morphling
Magnus
MagnusATF
50% · 217 games49% · 267 games
BeastmasterFayde
Beastmaster
Tiny
TinyMalr1ne
48% · 352 games45% · 166 games
Earth SpiritRCY
Earth Spirit
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanCr1t-
55% · 55 games56% · 133 games
Nyx AssassinBignum
Nyx Assassin
Phoenix
PhoenixSneyking
47% · 312 games49% · 162 games
LichSpeeed
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Falcons · 92%
Series resultTeam Falcons 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1