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CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulseloss 1:2
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Jigglinwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 16 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
JANTER · 15 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 14 games
43%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 10 games
70%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Hduo · 9 games
44%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Worick · 9 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Kami · 9 games
78%
Rubick
Rubick
JANTER · 9 games
33%

Jigglin

Batrider
Batridersignature
Lelis · 8 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Copy · 7 games
100%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Se · 6 games
83%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 5 games
60%
Muerta
Muerta
Lelis · 5 games
40%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Se · 5 games
80%
Meepo
Meepooften banned
423 · 4 games
50%
Razor
Razoroften banned
423 · 4 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
484 picks · 418 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
441 picks · 536 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
440 picks · 517 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
435 picks · 566 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
434 picks · 232 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
421 picks · 767 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
378 picks · 582 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
378 picks · 418 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 59%
Hero pool strength59% Jigglin
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total70% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:30
Night Pulse 70%Jigglin 30%
The model gave 70% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Jigglin in 33:00.
Game 2prediction correct27:35
Night Pulse 70%Jigglin 30%
The model gave 70% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 44:59.
Game 3prediction missed7:34
Night Pulse 70%Jigglin 30%
The model gave 70% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Jigglin in 27:16.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 70%
Series resultJigglin 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3