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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Yakult Brothersloss 0:1
series probability
26%74%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 24 games
58%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 20 games
45%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 18 games
61%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Emo · 17 games
71%
Muerta
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
63%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 15 games
73%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 15 games
60%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 14 games
71%

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 20 games
80%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 18 games
56%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 15 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 15 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
485 picks · 419 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
441 picks · 538 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
439 picks · 517 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
435 picks · 567 bans
54%
Lion
Lion
435 picks · 232 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
421 picks · 766 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
378 picks · 418 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
377 picks · 583 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:35
Yakult Brothers 36%PARIVISION 64%
The model gave 64% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 30:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerAme
45% · 48 games40% · 80 games
Phantom AssassinSatanic
Phantom Assassin
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritEmo
52% · 327 games49% · 333 games
PangolierNo[o]ne
Pangolier
Beastmaster
Beastmasterzeal
52% · 394 games48% · 273 games
PhoenixDM
Phoenix
Enchantress
EnchantressBoBoKa
50% · 413 games55% · 326 games
Clockwerk9Class
Clockwerk
Undying
Undying天命
50% · 101 game54% · 271 game
Crystal MaidenDukalis
Crystal Maiden
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 74%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1