FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 1:0series probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Spirit
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 38 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Satanic · 27 games
Batridersignature
rue · 26 games
Invokeroften banned
Larl · 22 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 22 games
Tusk
Miposhka · 22 games
Elder Titansignature
Miposhka · 19 games
Morphlingsignature
Satanic · 19 games
Yakult Brothers
Clockwerkoften banned
BoBoKa · 24 games
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 20 games
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 18 games
Invokersignature
Emo · 17 games
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 16 games
Pucksignature
Emo · 15 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 15 games
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
483 picks · 417 bans
Batrider
439 picks · 541 bans
Clockwerk
436 picks · 567 bans
Lion
436 picks · 231 bans
Phoenix
436 picks · 517 bans
Gyrocopter
423 picks · 764 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 587 bans
Tiny
374 picks · 418 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 65%
Hero pool strength51% Team Spirit
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total81% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:25
Team Spirit 72%Yakult Brothers 28%
The model gave 72% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 45:42.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PuckLarl
SpectreAme
TinyYatoro
Ember SpiritEmo
Batriderrue
Tidehunterzeal
BristlebackCollapse
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
ChenMiposhka
Zeus天命
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 81%
Series resultTeam Spirit 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1