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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 1:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Chimera Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 20 games
80%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 18 games
56%
Razor
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 16 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 15 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 15 games
67%

Chimera Esports

Muerta
Muertasignature
OneJey · 15 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
OneJey · 13 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
OneJey · 11 games
82%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 11 games
91%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Panto · 11 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 11 games
64%
Magnus
Magnussignature
TA2000 · 10 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Lorenof · 10 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
482 picks · 419 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
438 picks · 231 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
435 picks · 541 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
435 picks · 567 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
435 picks · 514 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
422 picks · 761 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
375 picks · 583 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
371 picks · 421 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:6
PARIVISION 62%Chimera Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 35:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lycan
LycanSatanic
46% · 65 games54% · 156 games
Naga SirenTA2000
Naga Siren
Sniper
SniperNo[o]ne
53% · 154 games53% · 265 games
DoomMalik
Doom
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
54% · 242 games48% · 170 games
Earth SpiritLorenof
Earth Spirit
Morphling
Morphling9Class
41% · 239 games52% · 312 games
PhoenixPanto
Phoenix
Clockwerk
ClockwerkDukalis
52% · 397 games47% · 194 games
MuertaOneJey
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 72%
Series resultPARIVISION 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1