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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Team Liquidwin 1:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Talon Esportsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Muerta
Muerta
Boxi · 24 games
58%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Nisha · 24 games
75%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Boxi · 23 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 22 games
59%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Boxi · 22 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
iNSaNiA · 21 game
57%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Nisha · 21 game
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Boxi · 19 games
53%

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 28 games
68%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kuku · 23 games
65%
Sniper
Snipersignature
Mikoto · 21 game
76%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Mikoto · 20 games
50%
Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 19 games
79%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Jhocam · 17 games
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Jhocam · 17 games
65%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ws · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
480 picks · 419 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
436 picks · 231 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
435 picks · 540 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
434 picks · 565 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
433 picks · 512 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
422 picks · 757 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 582 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
369 picks · 420 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 68%
Hero pool strength50% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total68% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:25
Team Liquid 60%Talon Esports 40%
The model gave 60% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 46:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Magnus
MagnusmiCKe
54% · 175 games56% · 90 games
SniperMikoto
Sniper
Tiny
TinyNisha
49% · 231 game59% · 103 games
Naga SirenNatsumi
Naga Siren
Lycan
LycanSabeRLight-
50% · 48 games45% · 141 game
DawnbreakerWs
Dawnbreaker
Techies
TechiesBoxi
43% · 56 games48% · 93 games
Ogre MagiKuku
Ogre Magi
Lich
LichiNSaNiA
43% · 113 games50% · 196 games
MuertaJhocam
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 68%
Series resultTeam Liquid 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1