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FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 1:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Xtreme Gamingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muerta
tOfu · 24 games
58%
Mirana
Mirana
tOfu · 15 games
53%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
36%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 14 games
43%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 13 games
38%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Quinn · 13 games
62%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Ace · 12 games
42%

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 30 games
70%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 21 game
62%
Muerta
Muerta
Pyw · 20 games
55%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 20 games
65%
Puck
Pucksignature
Xm · 19 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 17 games
65%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Poloson · 16 games
88%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 16 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
480 picks · 419 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
436 picks · 231 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
435 picks · 540 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
434 picks · 565 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
433 picks · 512 bans
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
422 picks · 757 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
374 picks · 582 bans
46%
Tiny
Tiny
369 picks · 420 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total52% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed55:13
Gaimin Gladiators 48%Xtreme Gaming 52%
The model gave 52% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 45:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
48% · 332 games52% · 143 games
LinaXm
Lina
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerAce
50% · 131 game52% · 177 games
Terrorbladelou
Terrorblade
Magnus
MagnusWatson
50% · 205 games48% · 296 games
Beastmasterniu
Beastmaster
Muerta
MuertatOfu
53% · 229 games47% · 54 games
Shadow ShamanPyw
Shadow Shaman
Lich
LichSeleri
53% · 118 games47% · 345 games
PhoenixPoloson
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 52%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1