FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO1
result vs predictionseries probability
81%19%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Muertasignature
Save- · 26 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
Batridersignature
Save- · 21 game
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 19 games
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 18 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 18 games
Magnussignature
MieRo · 15 games
Shopify Rebellion
Dragon Knightsignature
Timado · 20 games
Batrideroften banned
Hellscream · 17 games
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 16 games
Beastmastersignature
mangekyou · 14 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 14 games
Broodmotheroften banned
mangekyou · 13 games
Chenoften banned
Skem · 12 games
Invokersignature
Yopaj · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
481 picks · 419 bans
Clockwerk
438 picks · 566 bans
Batrider
437 picks · 539 bans
Lion
436 picks · 231 bans
Phoenix
433 picks · 511 bans
Gyrocopter
423 picks · 757 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 587 bans
Tiny
369 picks · 421 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 63%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total81% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:4
BETBOOM TEAM 69%Shopify Rebellion 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingPure~
LinaYopaj
DawnbreakerMieRo
Beastmastermangekyou
PuckgpK~
MagnusTimado
MuertaSave-
ZeusSkem
LichKataomi
Dark WillowHellscream
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 81%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1