?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 38 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nande+4loss 0:1
series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Power Rangerswin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nande+4

Kez
Kezoften banned
Nande · 2 games
50%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Mo13ei · 2 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Kidaro · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Palantimos · 1 game
100%
Lich
Lich
Kidaro · 1 game
0%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
Nande · 1 game
0%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
Palantimos · 1 game
0%
Rubick
Rubick
armageddon · 1 game
100%

Power Rangers

Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 37 games
59%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 36 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 29 games
52%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 28 games
68%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
56%
Tusk
Tusk
Immersion · 22 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Immersion · 21 game
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 20 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
632 picks · 431 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
552 picks · 311 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
486 picks · 589 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
466 picks · 392 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
434 picks · 645 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
350 picks · 1017 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 535 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
340 picks · 304 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 61%
Hero pool strength56% Power Rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Nande+4 11%Power Rangers 89%
The model gave 89% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers.
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 89%
Series resultPower Rangers 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1