?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 2:0
series probability
85%15%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Quantum Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Into The Breach

No games played over 6 months.

Quantum Team

Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 10 games
30%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Rvze · 9 games
44%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Fezor · 9 games
67%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 9 games
44%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Rvze · 7 games
14%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Somnia · 6 games
17%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Somnia · 6 games
67%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
bashka · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
480 picks · 415 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
438 picks · 573 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
428 picks · 228 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
424 picks · 540 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 731 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
411 picks · 490 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
368 picks · 590 bans
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
356 picks · 933 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 46%
Hero pool strength54% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total85% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:30
Into The Breach 85%Quantum Team 15%
The model gave 85% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 27:17.
Game 2prediction missed35:46
Into The Breach 85%Quantum Team 15%
The model gave 85% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by Quantum Team in 43:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 85%
Series resultInto The Breach 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2