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CCT Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacitywin 2:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LFGloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
DaaD- · 23 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 21 game
48%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 21 game
38%
Lich
Lich
LeBronDota · 19 games
47%
Lion
Lion
Pablo · 16 games
38%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Pablo · 16 games
69%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Nefrit · 16 games
56%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 15 games
60%

LFG

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Astral · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
flacko · 2 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 2 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
flacko · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Astral · 2 games
0%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
yowaai · 2 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nizam` · 2 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Astral · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
480 picks · 415 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
438 picks · 573 bans
55%
Lion
Lion
428 picks · 228 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
424 picks · 540 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
418 picks · 731 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
411 picks · 490 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
368 picks · 590 bans
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
356 picks · 933 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 65%LFG 35%
The model gave 65% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Game 2prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 65%LFG 35%
The model gave 65% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 65%
Series resultZero Tenacity 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2