European Pro League Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
Into The Breachwin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
TT Teamloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Into The Breach
No games played over 6 months.
TT Team
Batrideroften banned
Askold · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
486 picks · 411 bans
Clockwerk
449 picks · 583 bans
Batrider
425 picks · 534 bans
Lion
422 picks · 229 bans
Gyrocopter
416 picks · 722 bans
Phoenix
405 picks · 480 bans
Pangolier
371 picks · 598 bans
Beastmaster
360 picks · 942 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 36%
Hero pool strength56% Into The Breach
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Into The Breach
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:5
Into The Breach 87%TT Team 13%
The model gave 87% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by TT Team in 28:10.
Game 2prediction missed15:29
Into The Breach 87%TT Team 13%
The model gave 87% on Into The Breach — the game was taken by TT Team in 32:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteInto The Breach · 87%
Series resultInto The Breach 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2