ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Titanloss 1:2series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Yakult Brotherswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Titan
Grimstroke
mercy · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 1 game
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
poyoyo · 1 game
Tuskoften banned
zzq · 1 game
Yakult Brothers
Clockwerksignature
BoBoKa · 23 games
Enchantressoften banned
BoBoKa · 20 games
Invokersignature
Emo · 17 games
Phoenixsignature
天命 · 17 games
Pucksignature
Emo · 14 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Emo · 14 games
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 13 games
Muertasignature
BoBoKa · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
484 picks · 409 bans
Clockwerk
451 picks · 580 bans
Batrider
422 picks · 525 bans
Lion
416 picks · 228 bans
Gyrocopter
414 picks · 698 bans
Phoenix
404 picks · 462 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 594 bans
Beastmaster
356 picks · 934 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 62%
Hero pool strength62% Yakult Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total79% Yakult Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:20
Titan 21%Yakult Brothers 79%
The model gave 79% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Titan in 44:08.
Game 2prediction correct29:39
Titan 21%Yakult Brothers 79%
The model gave 79% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 36:34.
Game 3prediction correct24:35
Titan 21%Yakult Brothers 79%
The model gave 79% on Yakult Brothers — the game was taken by Yakult Brothers in 52:15.
Model check result
Model favoriteYakult Brothers · 79%
Series resultYakult Brothers 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3