ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionMDMilk Dragon Teamloss 1:2
series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:2
TGthe goal of all life is deathwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Milk Dragon Team
No games played over 6 months.
the goal of all life is death
Huskaroften banned
GaN- · 1 game
Invokeroften banned
GaN- · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
484 picks · 410 bans
Clockwerk
454 picks · 572 bans
Batrider
422 picks · 526 bans
Lion
414 picks · 226 bans
Gyrocopter
412 picks · 689 bans
Phoenix
404 picks · 457 bans
Pangolier
377 picks · 594 bans
Beastmaster
359 picks · 927 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 38%
Hero pool strength55% Milk Dragon Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% the goal of all life is death
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:36
Milk Dragon Team 29%the goal of all life is death 71%
The model gave 71% on the goal of all life is death — the game was taken by Milk Dragon Team in 47:42.
Game 2prediction correct30:28
Milk Dragon Team 29%the goal of all life is death 71%
The model gave 71% on the goal of all life is death — the game was taken by the goal of all life is death in 38:40.
Game 3prediction correct35:39
Milk Dragon Team 29%the goal of all life is death 71%
The model gave 71% on the goal of all life is death — the game was taken by the goal of all life is death in 38:51.
Model check result
Model favoritethe goal of all life is death · 71%
Series resultthe goal of all life is death 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3