The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionSShindennwin 2:1
series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EEokaloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Shindenn
No games played over 6 months.
Eoka
Spirit Breaker
N1NE · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
636 picks · 432 bans
Rubick
550 picks · 307 bans
Phoenix
494 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 402 bans
Pangolier
435 picks · 638 bans
Puck
357 picks · 1022 bans
Tusk
347 picks · 305 bans
Ember Spirit
346 picks · 540 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% Shindenn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Shindenn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Shindenn 51%Eoka 49%
The model gave 51% on Shindenn — the game was taken by Eoka.
Game 2prediction correct
Shindenn 51%Eoka 49%
The model gave 51% on Shindenn — the game was taken by Shindenn.
Game 3prediction correct
Shindenn 51%Eoka 49%
The model gave 51% on Shindenn — the game was taken by Shindenn.
Model check result
Model favoriteShindenn · 51%
Series resultShindenn 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3