?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionwin 2:0
series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
WhiteIceloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Timado · 18 games
61%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 16 games
63%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Yopaj · 15 games
60%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
mangekyou · 12 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Skem · 12 games
50%
Visage
Visageoften banned
mangekyou · 12 games
42%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
mangekyou · 11 games
73%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Yopaj · 11 games
64%

WhiteIce

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
483 picks · 406 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
448 picks · 564 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
419 picks · 518 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
411 picks · 221 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 678 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
402 picks · 445 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
372 picks · 593 bans
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
356 picks · 919 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 50%
Hero pool strength54% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Shopify Rebellion 95%WhiteIce 5%
The model gave 95% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion.
Game 2prediction correct
Shopify Rebellion 95%WhiteIce 5%
The model gave 95% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion.
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 95%
Series resultShopify Rebellion 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2