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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Titanloss 0:2
series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Xtreme Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Titan

Grimstroke
Grimstroke
mercy · 1 game
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
BEYOND · 1 game
0%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 1 game
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
poyoyo · 1 game
0%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
zzq · 1 game
0%

Xtreme Gaming

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Poloson · 29 games
69%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Pyw · 20 games
65%
Muerta
Muerta
Pyw · 19 games
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Xm · 19 games
63%
Puck
Pucksignature
Xm · 18 games
61%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Xxs · 17 games
65%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Xm · 15 games
47%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Xxs · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
482 picks · 402 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
449 picks · 560 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
414 picks · 518 bans
50%
Lion
Lion
408 picks · 218 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
402 picks · 668 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
394 picks · 444 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 592 bans
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
356 picks · 913 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 47%
Hero pool strength62% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total88% Xtreme Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:23
Titan 12%Xtreme Gaming 88%
The model gave 88% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 28:56.
Game 2prediction correct8:24
Titan 12%Xtreme Gaming 88%
The model gave 88% on Xtreme Gaming — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 25:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteXtreme Gaming · 88%
Series resultXtreme Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2