ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionMMiranaloss 0:2
series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LFLooking for Orgwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mirana
No games played over 6 months.
Looking for Org
Earthshaker
PiPi · 7 games
Batrideroften banned
Matthew · 6 games
Gyrocoptersignature
payk · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 4 games
Phoenixoften banned
Yadomi · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
476 picks · 395 bans
Clockwerk
442 picks · 551 bans
Batrider
402 picks · 508 bans
Lion
399 picks · 210 bans
Gyrocopter
393 picks · 646 bans
Phoenix
389 picks · 431 bans
Pangolier
366 picks · 583 bans
Beastmaster
351 picks · 892 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 58%
Hero pool strength54% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:31
Mirana 16%Looking for Org 84%
The model gave 84% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 1:36:01.
Game 2prediction correct11:40
Mirana 16%Looking for Org 84%
The model gave 84% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 31:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 84%
Series resultLooking for Org 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2