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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:1
series probability
27%73%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Looking for Orgloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 4 games
25%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 4 games
25%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 3 games
33%
Lina
Linaoften banned
S1RENM · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
S1RENM · 3 games
0%
Weaver
Weaver
DM · 3 games
33%

Looking for Org

Earthshaker
Earthshaker
PiPi · 7 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
payk · 5 games
100%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Matthew · 4 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 4 games
75%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 4 games
75%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Matthew · 3 games
33%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Vitaly · 3 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
payk · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
470 picks · 385 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
432 picks · 547 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
389 picks · 497 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
387 picks · 203 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
382 picks · 622 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
373 picks · 422 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
362 picks · 582 bans
44%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
341 picks · 876 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 64%
Hero pool strength57% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:44
Infamous 39%Looking for Org 61%
The model gave 61% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Infamous in 57:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Magnus
MagnusDM
57% · 137 games41% · 37 games
Drow Rangerpayk
Drow Ranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritS1RENM
49% · 145 games48% · 125 games
Earth SpiritPiPi
Earth Spirit
Enigma
EnigmaHermit
55% · 92 games44% · 55 games
Night StalkerVitaly
Night Stalker
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJimmyCoff666
59% · 253 games44% · 309 games
BatriderMatthew
Batrider
46% · 101 game
Ogre MagiYadomi
Ogre Magi
Game 2prediction correct17:47
Infamous 34%Looking for Org 66%
The model gave 66% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 28:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaDM
48% · 170 games56% · 323 games
Gyrocopterpayk
Gyrocopter
Tiny
TinyS1RENM
53% · 417 games47% · 121 game
DawnbreakerVitaly
Dawnbreaker
Beastmaster
BeastmasterHermit
46% · 283 games50% · 204 games
Ember SpiritPiPi
Ember Spirit
Tusk
TuskJimmyCoff666
46% · 260 games46% · 336 games
PhoenixYadomi
Phoenix
58% · 146 games
Nyx AssassinMatthew
Nyx Assassin
Game 3prediction missed43:24
Infamous 37%Looking for Org 63%
The model gave 63% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Infamous in 51:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaDM
53% · 91 game43% · 35 games
Phantom Assassinpayk
Phantom Assassin
Lina
LinaS1RENM
43% · 139 games59% · 93 games
BristlebackVitaly
Bristleback
Night Stalker
Night StalkerHermit
52% · 54 games54% · 217 games
TinyPiPi
Tiny
Clockwerk
ClockwerkJimmyCoff666
52% · 381 game49% · 191 game
BatriderYadomi
Batrider
45% · 129 games
MuertaMatthew
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 73%
Series resultInfamous 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3