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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 1:0
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Jigglinloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 20 games
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
JANTER · 16 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 14 games
64%
Sven
Svensignature
V-Tune · 14 games
71%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 12 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 11 games
27%
Rubick
Rubick
JANTER · 11 games
36%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Kami · 10 games
50%

Jigglin

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Lelis · 6 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 3 games
33%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 3 games
100%
Muerta
Muerta
Lelis · 3 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 3 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Se · 2 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Lelis · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
453 picks · 370 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
421 picks · 542 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
374 picks · 474 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
370 picks · 194 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
360 picks · 581 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
358 picks · 394 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 586 bans
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
340 picks · 849 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% Night Pulse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Night Pulse 62%Jigglin 38%
The model gave 62% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 62%
Series resultNight Pulse 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1