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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Zero Tenacityloss 0:1
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Night Pulsewin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Zero Tenacity

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
jAMES · 20 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
DaaD- · 19 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
LeBronDota · 17 games
53%
Lich
Lich
LeBronDota · 16 games
50%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Nefrit · 15 games
33%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Nefrit · 14 games
57%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Nefrit · 12 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Pablo · 12 games
42%

Night Pulse

Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 21 game
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
JANTER · 17 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Worick · 14 games
64%
Sven
Svensignature
V-Tune · 14 games
71%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 12 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 11 games
27%
Rubick
Rubick
JANTER · 11 games
36%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Worick · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
453 picks · 370 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
421 picks · 542 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
374 picks · 474 bans
52%
Lion
Lion
369 picks · 193 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
360 picks · 579 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
356 picks · 394 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
355 picks · 585 bans
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
339 picks · 848 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 40%
Hero pool strength51% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Zero Tenacity 39%Night Pulse 61%
The model gave 61% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse.
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 61%
Series resultNight Pulse 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1