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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
4ikibamboniloss 0:1
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MODUSwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

4ikibamboni

Axe
Axeoften banned
Ankou · 5 games
40%
Tusk
Tusk
waveformn · 5 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
ani-san · 4 games
75%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 4 games
50%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 4 games
75%
Bane
Bane
ani-san · 3 games
0%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
yowaai · 3 games
100%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
ani-san · 3 games
100%

MODUS

Rubick
Rubick
prblms · 16 games
38%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 13 games
23%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirele · 12 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
prblms · 11 games
55%
Tiny
Tiny
bottega · 11 games
27%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
elmo^^ · 11 games
73%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 11 games
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
prblms · 9 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
634 picks · 431 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
550 picks · 307 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
492 picks · 589 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
472 picks · 401 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
435 picks · 638 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
356 picks · 1019 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
347 picks · 305 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
346 picks · 537 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% 4ikibamboni
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% MODUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:45
4ikibamboni 49%MODUS 51%
The model gave 51% on MODUS — the game was taken by MODUS in 49:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Windranger
Windrangeryowaai
48% · 251 game50% · 294 games
Shadow Fiendbottega
Shadow Fiend
Puck
PuckEthereal
49% · 585 games49% · 441 game
Void SpiritMirele
Void Spirit
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerAnkou
39% · 177 games52% · 313 games
Batriderelmo^^
Batrider
Techies
Techieswaveformn
46% · 83 games53% · 25 games
Earth Spiritprblms
Earth Spirit
Clockwerk
Clockwerkani-san
50% · 187 games62% · 210 games
Banekasane
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteMODUS · 52%
Series resultMODUS 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1