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ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Ivoryloss 0:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Anlackywin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Ivory

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Rupido · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
Dric~ · 5 games
20%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Ken · 5 games
40%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
Ken · 4 games
50%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
Ken · 4 games
75%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 3 games
33%
Lion
Lion
Dric~ · 3 games
33%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Dric~ · 2 games
0%

Anlacky

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
Muerta
450 picks · 369 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
422 picks · 549 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
371 picks · 473 bans
51%
Lion
Lion
366 picks · 191 bans
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
361 picks · 571 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
354 picks · 589 bans
45%
Phoenix
Phoenix
353 picks · 391 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
344 picks · 371 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Anlacky
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Ivory
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:34
Ivory 57%Anlacky 43%
The model gave 57% on Ivory — the game was taken by Anlacky in 45:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteIvory · 57%
Series resultAnlacky 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1