ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLFLooking for Orgwin 2:0
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Blade breakersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Looking for Org
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 2 games
Doomoften banned
Matthew · 2 games
Bristlebackoften banned
Vitaly · 1 game
Clockwerkoften banned
Matthew · 1 game
Dark Willow
Yadomi · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
payk · 1 game
Earthshaker
PiPi · 1 game
Gyrocopteroften banned
payk · 1 game
Blade breakers
Ogre Magi
Accel · 7 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
bsK7- · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
bsK7- · 4 games
Bristlebackoften banned
bsK7- · 3 games
Chenoften banned
Accel · 3 games
Marsoften banned
Cara · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
Accel · 3 games
Queen of Painoften banned
Benjimon · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
445 picks · 363 bans
Clockwerk
413 picks · 550 bans
Batrider
369 picks · 470 bans
Lion
366 picks · 191 bans
Gyrocopter
355 picks · 563 bans
Pangolier
353 picks · 588 bans
Phoenix
349 picks · 381 bans
Tusk
347 picks · 374 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 27%
Hero pool strength52% Looking for Org
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Looking for Org
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:23
Looking for Org 71%Blade breakers 29%
The model gave 71% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 39:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassinpayk
Dragon KnightbsK7-
BeastmasterVitaly
EnchantressAccel
PangolierPiPi
ClockwerkYadomi
BatriderMatthew
Game 2prediction correct37:15
Looking for Org 71%Blade breakers 29%
The model gave 71% on Looking for Org — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 34:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassinpayk
BristlebackbsK7-
DawnbreakerVitaly
PhoenixAccel
TinyPiPi
GyrocopterMatthew
LichYadomi
Model check result
Model favoriteLooking for Org · 87%
Series resultLooking for Org 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2