ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Blue pikachuloss 0:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TCTeam Cyberdingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Blue pikachu
No games played over 6 months.
Team Cyberding
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
444 picks · 359 bans
Clockwerk
410 picks · 548 bans
Batrider
368 picks · 469 bans
Lion
366 picks · 191 bans
Gyrocopter
352 picks · 563 bans
Pangolier
352 picks · 587 bans
Phoenix
348 picks · 381 bans
Tusk
347 picks · 374 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Blue pikachu
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Team Cyberding
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Blue pikachu 46%Team Cyberding 54%
The model gave 54% on Team Cyberding — the game was taken by Team Cyberding.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Cyberding · 54%
Series resultTeam Cyberding 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1