The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
4ikibamboniloss 0:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Bald Rebornwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
4ikibamboni
Tusk
waveformn · 5 games
Axeoften banned
Ankou · 4 games
Dark Willow
ani-san · 4 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
yowaai · 4 games
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 4 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
yowaai · 3 games
Ogre Magi
ani-san · 3 games
Rubick
waveformn · 3 games
Team Bald Reborn
Clockwerkoften banned
bengan · 4 games
Hoodwink
mrls · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Shad · 3 games
Doomoften banned
Xibbe · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Sancity · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
mrls · 2 games
Lycanoften banned
Xibbe · 2 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Shad · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
634 picks · 429 bans
Rubick
548 picks · 307 bans
Phoenix
491 picks · 589 bans
Tiny
474 picks · 400 bans
Pangolier
435 picks · 638 bans
Puck
356 picks · 1019 bans
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 538 bans
Tusk
346 picks · 304 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)73% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Team Bald Reborn
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Team Bald Reborn
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:42
4ikibamboni 47%Team Bald Reborn 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Bald Reborn — the game was taken by Team Bald Reborn in 41:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Sirenyowaai
ViperShad
WindrangerEthereal
LycanXibbe
AxeAnkou
Queen of PainSancity
Keeper of the Lightwaveformn
Rubickmrls
Baneani-san
Grimstrokebengan
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Bald Reborn · 57%
Series resultTeam Bald Reborn 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1