ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Ascent Esportsloss 0:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:2
InterActive Philippineswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Ascent Esports
Clockwerkoften banned
czy · 5 games
Lion
TrazaM · 5 games
Muerta
TrazaM · 4 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 4 games
Dark Willow
TrazaM · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
czy · 3 games
Morphlingoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Nature's Prophet
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
InterActive Philippines
Linaoften banned
Nishababy · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Nishababy · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
435 picks · 355 bans
Clockwerk
410 picks · 546 bans
Batrider
364 picks · 460 bans
Lion
362 picks · 190 bans
Tusk
356 picks · 375 bans
Pangolier
354 picks · 588 bans
Gyrocopter
345 picks · 551 bans
Phoenix
339 picks · 374 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% InterActive Philippines
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Ascent Esports 38%InterActive Philippines 62%
The model gave 62% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Game 2prediction correct
Ascent Esports 38%InterActive Philippines 62%
The model gave 62% on InterActive Philippines — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines.
Model check result
Model favoriteInterActive Philippines · 62%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2