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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
MODUSwin 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
1p2mloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MODUS

Rubick
Rubick
prblms · 14 games
36%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 12 games
25%
Tiny
Tiny
bottega · 11 games
27%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 11 games
45%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
prblms · 10 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
Mirele · 10 games
70%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
elmo^^ · 10 games
70%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
prblms · 9 games
56%

1p2m

Axe
Axeoften banned
MegoWay · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Katari_ · 1 game
100%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
MegoWay · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Katari_ · 1 game
100%
Disruptor
Disruptor
antoha · 1 game
100%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MegoWay · 1 game
100%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
hairo · 1 game
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
antoha · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
632 picks · 422 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
542 picks · 305 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
488 picks · 588 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
474 picks · 400 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
431 picks · 633 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
355 picks · 1011 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
348 picks · 298 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 536 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 67%
Hero pool strength59% 1p2m
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% MODUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:5
MODUS 60%1p2m 40%
The model gave 60% on MODUS — the game was taken by MODUS in 23:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladebottega
41% · 141 game57% · 236 games
DoomMegoWay
Doom
Underlord
Underlordelmo^^
46% · 186 games64% · 66 games
Lone Druidhairo
Lone Druid
Puck
PuckMirele
46% · 318 games45% · 520 games
TinyZipZzzap
Tiny
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkprblms
49% · 381 game50% · 100 games
Lichantoha
Lich
Bane
Banekasane
56% · 160 games50% · 264 games
ClockwerkKatari_
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct33:42
MODUS 61%1p2m 39%
The model gave 61% on MODUS — the game was taken by MODUS in 58:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckMirele
50% · 491 game46% · 413 games
PangolierZipZzzap
Pangolier
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritbottega
61% · 30 games51% · 206 games
Doomhairo
Doom
Slardar
Slardarelmo^^
52% · 388 games48% · 314 games
BeastmasterMegoWay
Beastmaster
Rubick
Rubickprblms
53% · 309 games45% · 248 games
WindrangerKatari_
Windranger
Bane
Banekasane
52% · 268 games47% · 305 games
Disruptorantoha
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteMODUS · 70%
Series resultMODUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2