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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Game Masterwin 1:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Cloud Risingloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Game Master

Largo
Largooften banned
TK · 5 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
Moon · 5 games
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Monet · 4 games
75%
Kez
Kezoften banned
flyfly · 4 games
75%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
50%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
flyfly · 3 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
7e · 3 games
67%
Magnus
Magnus
JT- · 3 games
67%

Cloud Rising

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 5 games
40%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Ice Coke · 3 games
67%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Yumeyume · 3 games
33%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
sheep · 3 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Q7 · 3 games
33%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
谢乐zzz张泽中 · 3 games
67%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
100%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Q7 · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
634 picks · 422 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
540 picks · 303 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
488 picks · 587 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
476 picks · 400 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
432 picks · 633 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
357 picks · 1009 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
348 picks · 298 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 536 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% Game Master
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Game Master
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:33
Game Master 61%Cloud Rising 39%
The model gave 61% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 49:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawJT-
55% · 112 games48% · 68 games
Drow RangerYumeyume
Drow Ranger
Ursa
Ursaflyfly
51% · 112 games49% · 91 game
ViperQ7
Viper
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMoon
44% · 181 game48% · 233 games
AxeIce Coke
Axe
Lion
LionPyw
55% · 94 games52% · 189 games
Rubicksheep
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorTK
50% · 101 game46% · 19 games
Witch Doctor谢乐zzz张泽中
Witch Doctor
Model check result
Model favoriteGame Master · 71%
Series resultGame Master 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1