ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Jigglinwin 1:0series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Team Hryvnialoss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Jigglin
Batrideroften banned
Lelis · 5 games
Magnusoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 2 games
Linaoften banned
Copy · 2 games
Marsoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 2 games
Meepooften banned
423 · 2 games
Muerta
Lelis · 2 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Lelis · 2 games
Team Hryvnia
Lunaoften banned
paw · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
paw · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
426 picks · 346 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 540 bans
Batrider
358 picks · 450 bans
Lion
357 picks · 189 bans
Tusk
356 picks · 376 bans
Pangolier
350 picks · 582 bans
Beastmaster
337 picks · 817 bans
Gyrocopter
337 picks · 536 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 40%
Hero pool strength56% Jigglin
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% Jigglin
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Jigglin 83%Team Hryvnia 17%
The model gave 83% on Jigglin — the game was taken by Jigglin.
Model check result
Model favoriteJigglin · 83%
Series resultJigglin 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1