ESL One Raleigh 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionHHabibisloss 0:1
series probability
13%87%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Secretwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Habibis
No games played over 6 months.
Team Secret
Batrideroften banned
Puppey · 11 games
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 11 games
Dragon Knightsignature
423 · 10 games
Bounty Hunter
Kyzko · 9 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
423 · 9 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Kyzko · 8 games
Tuskoften banned
Kyzko · 7 games
Dark Willow
Kyzko · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
426 picks · 346 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 540 bans
Batrider
358 picks · 450 bans
Lion
357 picks · 189 bans
Tusk
356 picks · 376 bans
Pangolier
350 picks · 582 bans
Beastmaster
337 picks · 816 bans
Gyrocopter
337 picks · 535 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% Habibis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:12
Habibis 13%Team Secret 87%
The model gave 87% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 48:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 87%
Series resultTeam Secret 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1