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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Grey Tracloss 1:2
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Game Masterwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Grey Trac

Bane
Bane
Undyne_ · 2 games
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
BEYOND · 2 games
100%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Dust · 2 games
100%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
BEYOND · 1 game
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Rico · 1 game
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Dust · 1 game
0%

Game Master

Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Monet · 4 games
75%
Largo
Largooften banned
TK · 4 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
JT- · 4 games
50%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangeroften banned
flyfly · 3 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
7e · 3 games
67%
Kez
Kezoften banned
flyfly · 3 games
67%
Magnus
Magnus
JT- · 3 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Pyw · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
630 picks · 419 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
537 picks · 302 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
487 picks · 585 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
473 picks · 396 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
431 picks · 623 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
354 picks · 1002 bans
58%
Tusk
Tusk
346 picks · 299 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
341 picks · 528 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 57%
Hero pool strength52% Game Master
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total66% Game Master
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:22
Grey Trac 40%Game Master 60%
The model gave 60% on Game Master — the game was taken by Grey Trac in 31:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeRA1NCLOUD
48% · 243 games53% · 77 games
Alchemistflyfly
Alchemist
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerBEYOND
46% · 231 game52% · 246 games
BeastmasterJT-
Beastmaster
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritDust
50% · 419 games55% · 415 games
PuckMoon
Puck
Lion
LionRico
48% · 196 games57% · 191 game
Nature's ProphetTK
Nature's Prophet
Silencer
SilencerUndyne_
39% · 212 games51% · 372 games
HoodwinkPyw
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct38:38
Grey Trac 39%Game Master 61%
The model gave 61% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 50:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinRA1NCLOUD
48% · 173 games52% · 229 games
TimbersawJT-
Timbersaw
Pangolier
PangolierDust
44% · 285 games55% · 326 games
SnapfireMoon
Snapfire
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerBEYOND
48% · 276 games49% · 247 games
Windrangerflyfly
Windranger
Rubick
RubickRico
53% · 198 games44% · 62 games
Spirit BreakerPyw
Spirit Breaker
Lich
LichUndyne_
51% · 81 game56% · 149 games
LargoTK
Largo
Game 3prediction correct15:38
Grey Trac 38%Game Master 62%
The model gave 62% on Game Master — the game was taken by Game Master in 38:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaRA1NCLOUD
51% · 161 game57% · 158 games
Kezflyfly
Kez
Underlord
UnderlordBEYOND
50% · 159 games53% · 259 games
SnapfireJT-
Snapfire
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritDust
52% · 440 games52% · 421 game
Ember SpiritMoon
Ember Spirit
Rubick
RubickRico
47% · 198 games44% · 71 game
EarthshakerPyw
Earthshaker
Lich
LichUndyne_
39% · 86 games51% · 135 games
BaneTK
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteGame Master · 66%
Series resultGame Master 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3