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DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Jigglinloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muerta
tOfu · 22 games
55%
Chen
Chensignature
Seleri · 20 games
60%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Quinn · 18 games
72%
Underlord
Underlord
Ace · 16 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 15 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Seleri · 15 games
40%
Broodmother
Broodmothersignature
Ace · 14 games
71%
Mirana
Mirana
tOfu · 13 games
54%

Jigglin

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Lelis · 4 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 3 games
100%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Se · 2 games
100%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Copy · 2 games
50%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Lelis · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Se · 1 game
100%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
MinD_ContRoL · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
411 picks · 537 bans
54%
Muerta
Muerta
408 picks · 338 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
365 picks · 384 bans
46%
Lion
Lion
353 picks · 179 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
351 picks · 434 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
348 picks · 581 bans
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
333 picks · 809 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
327 picks · 505 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 71%
Hero pool strength50% Jigglin
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total83% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:24
Gaimin Gladiators 68%Jigglin 32%
The model gave 68% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 46:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingWatson
47% · 208 games51% · 42 games
Spectre423
Spectre
Pangolier
PangolierQuinn
46% · 328 games50% · 448 games
TinyCopy
Tiny
Magnus
MagnusAce
49% · 158 games46% · 214 games
BrewmasterMinD_ContRoL
Brewmaster
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassintOfu
55% · 121 game47% · 170 games
MuertaLelis
Muerta
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenSeleri
48% · 233 games59% · 174 games
ChenSe
Chen
Game 2prediction correct28:18
Gaimin Gladiators 68%Jigglin 32%
The model gave 68% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 38:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingWatson
44% · 324 games52% · 168 games
Bristleback423
Bristleback
Phoenix
PhoenixAce
49% · 259 games49% · 75 games
EarthshakerCopy
Earthshaker
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritQuinn
56% · 143 games54% · 146 games
EnigmaMinD_ContRoL
Enigma
Lich
LichSeleri
57% · 82 games43% · 361 game
BatriderSe
Batrider
Dark Willow
Dark WillowtOfu
50% · 267 games48% · 325 games
HoodwinkLelis
Hoodwink
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 83%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2