European Pro League Season 23 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quantum Teamloss 0:2series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LLFGwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quantum Team
Magnusoften banned
kolya_kaBAN68 · 8 games
Phoenixsignature
Fezor · 8 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Rvze · 8 games
Morphlingoften banned
bashka · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Somnia · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
bashka · 6 games
Snapfire
Somnia · 5 games
Dark Willow
Somnia · 4 games
LFG
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
412 picks · 538 bans
Muerta
408 picks · 339 bans
Tusk
365 picks · 385 bans
Lion
354 picks · 179 bans
Batrider
353 picks · 435 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 583 bans
Beastmaster
334 picks · 810 bans
Gyrocopter
328 picks · 505 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% LFG
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Quantum Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Quantum Team 65%LFG 35%
The model gave 65% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by LFG.
Game 2prediction missed
Quantum Team 65%LFG 35%
The model gave 65% on Quantum Team — the game was taken by LFG.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuantum Team · 65%
Series resultLFG 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2