DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Meant 2 Bewin 2:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
EEEntropia Esportloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Meant 2 Be
Leshrac
bgod · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Double King · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Double King · 1 game
Hoodwink
bgod · 1 game
Marci
bgod · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Double King · 1 game
Spectreoften banned
Double King · 1 game
Techies
bgod · 1 game
Entropia Esport
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
410 picks · 539 bans
Muerta
407 picks · 338 bans
Tusk
367 picks · 387 bans
Lion
354 picks · 179 bans
Pangolier
351 picks · 582 bans
Batrider
349 picks · 437 bans
Beastmaster
335 picks · 805 bans
Gyrocopter
325 picks · 502 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Meant 2 Be
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Meant 2 Be
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed46:43
Meant 2 Be 54%Entropia Esport 46%
The model gave 54% on Meant 2 Be — the game was taken by Entropia Esport in 52:12.
Game 2prediction correct43:67
Meant 2 Be 54%Entropia Esport 46%
The model gave 54% on Meant 2 Be — the game was taken by Meant 2 Be in 44:41.
Game 3prediction correct30:42
Meant 2 Be 54%Entropia Esport 46%
The model gave 54% on Meant 2 Be — the game was taken by Meant 2 Be in 33:44.
Model check result
Model favoriteMeant 2 Be · 54%
Series resultMeant 2 Be 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3