The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cloud Dawningloss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Grey Tracwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Cloud Dawning
No games played over 6 months.
Grey Trac
Muertaoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Centaur Warrunner
BEYOND · 1 game
Hoodwink
Rico · 1 game
Pangolieroften banned
Dust · 1 game
Rubick
Rico · 1 game
Silencer
Undyne_ · 1 game
Storm Spiritoften banned
Dust · 1 game
Underlordoften banned
BEYOND · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
629 picks · 416 bans
Rubick
537 picks · 300 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
471 picks · 396 bans
Pangolier
431 picks · 621 bans
Puck
351 picks · 999 bans
Tusk
346 picks · 296 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 525 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 40%
Hero pool strength57% Cloud Dawning
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Grey Trac
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:21
Cloud Dawning 50%Grey Trac 50%
The model gave 50% on Grey Trac — the game was taken by Grey Trac in 36:40.
Game 2prediction correct37:39
Cloud Dawning 50%Grey Trac 50%
The model gave 50% on Grey Trac — the game was taken by Grey Trac in 1:10:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteGrey Trac · 50%
Series resultGrey Trac 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2