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PGL Wallachia Season 3. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Türkiyeloss 0:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
No Packet Losswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Türkiye

Lich
Lich
Stoic · 10 games
30%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Jeezy · 10 games
50%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Jeezy · 9 games
67%
Tiny
Tinysignature
G.T.I · 9 games
78%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Stoic · 7 games
71%
Invoker
Invokersignature
G.T.I · 7 games
71%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Stoic · 5 games
40%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
G.T.I · 5 games
40%

No Packet Loss

Puck
Puckoften banned
MaTson · 3 games
33%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
xsvampire · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lowskill · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Infernal · 2 games
50%
Warlock
Warlockoften banned
Kidaro · 2 games
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 1 game
0%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Infernal · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
xsvampire · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
410 picks · 539 bans
55%
Muerta
Muerta
407 picks · 338 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
367 picks · 387 bans
46%
Lion
Lion
354 picks · 179 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
351 picks · 582 bans
45%
Batrider
Batrider
349 picks · 436 bans
51%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
335 picks · 804 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
325 picks · 500 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% Team Türkiye
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% No Packet Loss
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:35
Team Türkiye 39%No Packet Loss 61%
The model gave 61% on No Packet Loss — the game was taken by No Packet Loss in 34:52.
Game 2prediction correct24:20
Team Türkiye 39%No Packet Loss 61%
The model gave 61% on No Packet Loss — the game was taken by No Packet Loss in 31:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteNo Packet Loss · 61%
Series resultNo Packet Loss 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2