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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
剑指傻雕loss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cloud Risingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

剑指傻雕

No games played over 6 months.

Cloud Rising

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Q7 · 4 games
25%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
100%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
lou · 1 game
0%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Q7 · 1 game
0%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Undyne_ · 1 game
100%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Undyne_ · 1 game
0%
Dazzle
Dazzle
Undyne_ · 1 game
0%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Q7 · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
629 picks · 416 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
537 picks · 300 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
485 picks · 583 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
471 picks · 396 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
431 picks · 621 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 999 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
346 picks · 296 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 525 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% 剑指傻雕
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Cloud Rising
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:31
剑指傻雕 47%Cloud Rising 53%
The model gave 53% on Cloud Rising — the game was taken by Cloud Rising in 32:51.
Game 2prediction correct
剑指傻雕 47%Cloud Rising 53%
The model gave 53% on Cloud Rising — the game was taken by Cloud Rising.
Model check result
Model favoriteCloud Rising · 53%
Series resultCloud Rising 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2